Updated population estimates show decline in Southern Tier

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March 14, 2013

The Census Bureau published new population estimates for New York State on Thursday. They found population declines in several upstate regions, including the Southern Tier.

The largest relative decline was in the Southern Tier, where the population has decreased by about 0.6% since the official census in 2010.

Jan Vink is a researcher at Cornell University’s Program on Applied Demographics. He says the decline can be attributed to the region’s aging population and young residents leaving to find work elsewhere.

"I’m afraid that the availability of jobs, or the lack of availability of jobs, is part of that explanation," he says.

Broome County lost the most residents in New York State with a net loss of about twenty-five hundred, followed by the Western New York counties of Chautauqua and Niagara.

The new estimates seem to confirm a trend of young people leaving upstate regions. According to an Empire Center study published last year, the population of individuals in the 25 to 34 age group declined by about 7% during the last decade.

Overall the New York state population grew by one percent with the New York City, North Country and Mid-Hudson regions seeing the largest percentage gains.

Click here for Cornell University Program on Applied Demographics Analysis of the updated population estimates.